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<channel>
	<title> &#187; central asia</title>
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	<description>On Central Asian Society and Politics</description>
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		<title> &#187; central asia</title>
		<link>http://nonpon.wordpress.com</link>
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		<title>Kazakhstan is South Carolina</title>
		<link>http://nonpon.wordpress.com/2007/06/22/kazakhstan-is-south-carolina/</link>
		<comments>http://nonpon.wordpress.com/2007/06/22/kazakhstan-is-south-carolina/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 21 Jun 2007 18:39:58 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>tkaye</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[central asia]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[maps]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[Kazakhstan is South Carolina, Uzbekistan is Wyoming, Russia is New Jersey and Pakistan is Arkansas, according to this map.
Although the economies of countries like China and India are growing at an incredible rate, the US remains the nation with the highest GDP in the world – and by far: US GDP is projected to be [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=nonpon.wordpress.com&blog=1116330&post=38&subd=nonpon&ref=&feed=1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class='snap_preview'><br /><p><img src="http://farm2.static.flickr.com/1289/581845177_4bda30bbd0_o.jpg" alt="US State GDPs compared to world countries" width="500">Kazakhstan is South Carolina, Uzbekistan is Wyoming, Russia is New Jersey and Pakistan is Arkansas, according to this <a href="http://strangemaps.wordpress.com/2007/06/10/131-us-states-renamed-for-countries-with-similar-gdps/">map</a>.</p>
<blockquote><p>Although the economies of countries like China and India are growing at an incredible rate, the US remains the nation with the highest GDP in the world – and by far: US GDP is projected to be <strong>$13,22 trillion</strong> (or $13.220 billion) in 2007, according to <a href="http://www.photius.com/rankings/economy/gdp_official_exchange_rate_2007_0.html">this source</a>. That’s almost as much as the economies of the next four (Japan, Germany, China, UK) combined. The creator of this map has had the interesting idea to break down that gigantic US GDP into the GDPs of individual states, and compare those to other countries’ GDP. What follows, is this slightly misleading map – misleading, because the economies both of the US states and of the countries they are compared with are not weighted for their respective populations.</p></blockquote>
<p>Click <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_GDP_%28PPP%29">here </a>for a list of countries by GDP.</p>
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		<slash:comments>1</slash:comments>
	
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			<media:title type="html">Teo</media:title>
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			<media:title type="html">US State GDPs compared to world countries</media:title>
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		<title>Central Asian Failed states</title>
		<link>http://nonpon.wordpress.com/2007/06/20/central-asian-failed-states/</link>
		<comments>http://nonpon.wordpress.com/2007/06/20/central-asian-failed-states/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 19 Jun 2007 19:38:35 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>tkaye</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[central asia]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[corruption]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[democracy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[kazakhstan]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[kyrgyzstan]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[reform]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[russia]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[turkmenistan]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[uzbekistan]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://nonpon.wordpress.com/2007/06/20/central-asian-failed-states/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[
From our newest contributor, Shannon Hiller:
The third annual Failed State Index, produced jointly by a The Fund for Peace and Foreign Policy magazine, came out with mostly depressing news.  The index ranks 177 states on 12 indicators, meant to asses their “vulnerability to violent internal conflict and societal deterioration.” The 2007 report includes data [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=nonpon.wordpress.com&blog=1116330&post=37&subd=nonpon&ref=&feed=1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class='snap_preview'><br /><p><img src="http://farm2.static.flickr.com/1275/571151459_c348b614c8_o.jpg" alt="Failed States Index 2007" /></p>
<p>From our newest contributor, Shannon Hiller:<br />
The <a href="http://www.foreignpolicy.com/story/cms.php?story_id=3865&amp;page=7">third annual Failed State Index</a>, produced jointly by a The Fund for Peace and Foreign Policy magazine, came out with mostly depressing news.  The index ranks 177 states on 12 indicators, meant to asses their “vulnerability to violent internal conflict and societal deterioration.” The 2007 report includes data gathered from May to December 2006. <a href="http://www.foreignpolicy.com/story/cms.php?story_id=3420&amp;page=1">Compared to last year</a>, Central Asia managed a mixed yet predictable showing. [Click <a href="http://www.flickr.com/photo_zoom.gne?id=571151465&amp;context=photostream&amp;size=o">here</a> for the current table with all of the 12 indicators, <a href="http://www.flickr.com/photo_zoom.gne?id=571151477&amp;size=o">here</a> for last year's table and <a href="http://www.foreignpolicy.com/story/cms.php?story_id=3420&amp;page=1">here</a> for the non-truncated FP version listing all 60 failed states]</p>
<p>A primary conclusion for the region: the neighborhood matters a lot.  From this principle, its easy to understand why Tajikistan made the worst progress, climbing three spots to #39.  FP notes its proximity to Afghanistan with some <a href="http://www.foreignpolicy.com/story/cms.php?story_id=3865&amp;page=5">handy arrows symbolizing the spreading heroin</a>, AIDS, and discord.  Reinforcing this assumption, Bosnia, Serbia, and Moldova seem to be moving rapidly to the bottom or entirely off the chart, reluctantly surrounded by an expanding European Union.  There is some metaphor about gentrification to be had here, involving drugs, but I think it could drag on too long for comfort.<br />
<span id="more-37"></span><br />
Though similar arrows are directed at Uzbekistan, one can only assume it escaped a similar rise, keeping last years ranking of #22, due to the much more high profile instability of Africa and the lack of a “repeat Andijan” to hold international attention.  Still, it remains the least stable in the region and Karimov’s long tenure merited a comparison with such legendary dictators as Robert Mugabe of Zimbabwe:</p>
<p>“But the problem is not restricted to sub-Saharan Africa. Uzbekistan’s President Islam Karimov, who has continued a brutal crackdown on dissent since the massacre of hundreds of unarmed protesters in May 2005, has been in power since 1991.”</p>
<p>Turkmenistan rose only two spots under the last year of Turkmanbashi’s reign, landing at #43.  The <a href="http://www.ifex.org/en/content/view/full/77179">suspicious death of RFE/RL reporter Ogulsapar Muradova</a>, while in prison serving an equally suspicious sentence from a closed trial, is only the most high profile example of how deserving the country is of its near perfect (a.k.a. bad) score in the “Human Rights” column.  Without Turkmenbashi, there still isn’t really a question of whether similar arrests will continue. This past year also saw the <a href="http://www.amnestyusa.org/youth/plugged_in/0703/andrei_is_free.html">arrest of a prominent environmentalist</a>.  Though he was subsequently released, you’ve got to be scraping the bottom of the dissident barrel if you’re going after the greens.</p>
<p>Kyrgyzstan, on the other hand, allegedly stepped the furthest from the abyss, dropping a full 13 spots to #41.  Encouragingly, the drop was due to lower rankings nearly across the board, albeit extremely marginal.  The ability of Kyrgyz to flee the country seems to be the main factor keeping it ranked above Turkmenistan.  The survey’s time frame obviously missed the bulk of orchestrated protests between factions over the constitution, otherwise its difficult to square the low score on “Factional Elites” with recent events.</p>
<p>Other points of interest for the region include the disappearance of Russia and China from the list, signaling that at least part of the neighborhood may be improving a little.  FP admits that this may be due to an increase in the number of countries analyzed, but also points to general economic growth.  The lack of another Beslan-type incident in Russia likewise outweighed the decrease in democracy; the index measures susceptibility to state collapse, not really the more traditional measures of a government. Likewise, Kazakhstan doesn’t even register, probably as a result of its relative economic status, lack of such a highly volatile boarder, and maybe a hesitation to rub in the success of the Borat movie.  The soap opera of Aliyev might help squeeze them into the chart next year though and the rest of Central Asia doesn’t appear to be leaving the top tiers any time soon.</p>
<p>Table source: <a href="http://www.foreignpolicy.com/story/cms.php?story_id=3420&amp;page=1">Foreign Policy Magazine</a></p>
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		<slash:comments>9</slash:comments>
	
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			<media:title type="html">Teo</media:title>
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		<media:content url="http://farm2.static.flickr.com/1275/571151459_c348b614c8_o.jpg" medium="image">
			<media:title type="html">Failed States Index 2007</media:title>
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		<title>Putin’s missile shield – Bishkek boon or Russian bunt?</title>
		<link>http://nonpon.wordpress.com/2007/06/09/putin%e2%80%99s-missile-shield-%e2%80%93-bishkek-boon-or-russian-bunt/</link>
		<comments>http://nonpon.wordpress.com/2007/06/09/putin%e2%80%99s-missile-shield-%e2%80%93-bishkek-boon-or-russian-bunt/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 08 Jun 2007 22:11:22 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>tkaye</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[bases]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[central asia]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[kyrgyzstan]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[relations]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[Putin’s surprise offer for Dubya at the G8 summit to jointly work on a missile defense shield in Azerbaijan rather than the contentious Czech-based proposal has commentators buzzing. Even as Washington and Moscow have agreed to discuss such potential, many, such as the NYT and this blogger are listing “daunting, and possibly insurmountable, hurdles.”
James over [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=nonpon.wordpress.com&blog=1116330&post=32&subd=nonpon&ref=&feed=1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class='snap_preview'><br /><p class="MsoNormal"><img align="left" src="http://farm2.static.flickr.com/1392/536401682_f94e942c22_o.jpg" alt="Putin's proposed Qalaba Missile Shield" /><span style="font-size:10pt;">Putin’s surprise offer for Dubya at the G8 summit to jointly work on a <a href="http://www.rferl.org/featuresarticle/2007/6/03a1db46-8b93-4756-935f-6158c4909cf8.html">missile defense shield</a> in Azerbaijan rather than the contentious Czech-based proposal has commentators buzzing. Even as Washington and Moscow have agreed to discuss such potential, many, such as the NYT and <a href="http://formerspook.blogspot.com/2007/06/mr-putins-not-so-serious-offer.html">this blogger</a> are listing “daunting, and <a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2007/06/08/world/europe/08prexy.html?ei=5090&amp;en=a5871985bc9ce185&amp;ex=1338955200&amp;partner=rssuserland&amp;emc=rss&amp;pagewanted=all">possibly insurmountable, hurdles</a>.”</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:10pt;">James over at Neweurasia points to the proposal’s tremendous positive (but admittedly unlikely) <a href="http://neweurasia.net/?p=1385">potential for Central Asia</a>. </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:10pt;"></span></p>
<blockquote><p>American and Russian objectives in Central Asia are not so dramatically opposed as popularly portrayed, and there is no fundamental reason the two countries could not cooperate in Central Asia. Both countries are committed to opposing militant Islam, both favor stability in the post-Soviet space, and both have a stake in the global economy. It seems that there are too many Cold War bureaucrats left over in the foreign affairs ministries of both sides. The Cold War is over, and there is no Great Game (or if there is, it is a childish one).</p>
</blockquote>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:10pt;">Bishkek pundit Muratbek Imanaliyev is so giddy about the uncharacteristic proposal, he <a href="http://www.bpc.kg/?module=news_view&amp;id=1720">entertains direct cooperation</a> if not unification between the Russian Kant base and the American Ganci base, 30 km apart from each other, just outside Bishkek. He floats possibilities for “single military infrastructural fields” tackling “group-strategy challenges [through] greater exchanges of information between the two bases.” Catching optimism:</span></p>
<p><span id="more-32"></span></p>
<blockquote>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:10pt;">“Kyrgyzstan must talk to our Russian friends, to the Americans, and try to find some kind of point for a closer friendship. Afghanistan is a global problem, equally important for all nations and not just Central Asia.”</span></p>
</blockquote>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:10pt;">Tensions around Russian opposition to the proposed missile defense shield in eastern Europe in the past weeks have visibly heightened media coverage of the small anti-US airbase protests here in Bishkek. Just yesterday, 20 protestors made a big show of burning home-made US flags outside the American University, during a <a href="http://www.kyrgyzreport.com/?p=396">visit</a> from Richard Boucher, the US assistant Sec of State. It’s charming to imagine Bakiyev mending relations between the two powers here in Bishkek’s backyard.</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:10pt;">Given what <a href="http://neweurasia.net/?p=1331">this post</a> labels Russia’s ongoing “geopolitical counter-offensive” however, Putin’s track record suggests that this is just another political move. Ignoring <a href="http://www.iht.com/articles/ap/2007/06/08/europe/EU-GEN-NATO-Russia.php">technical issues</a>, he’s bunting to stall the process, defuse the tensions he’s ratcheted up and/or buying time to change tacks before his next meeting with Bush in early July. </span></p>
<p>Advisers on both sides are probably scrambling to gage the next steps, which has Putin missing informal G8 meetings and Bush calling in sick, speculates <a href="http://naryn-aiyp.livejournal.com/33785.html">Naryn Ayip</a> and <a href="http://neweurasia.net/?p=1385#comment-41111">Tajik Boy</a>. &#8220;You could see how nervous Bush was by how he was gripping that beer..&#8221;</p>
<p>On a more humorous note, <a href="http://www.robertamsterdam.com/2007/06/best_headline.htm">Robert Amsterdam awards &#8216;Best Headline&#8217;</a> to Stratfor news service for this creative title:</p>
<blockquote><p>&#8220;<a href="http://www.stratfor.com/products/premium/read_article.php?id=289905">Putin Tells Bush Where to Put His Missile Defense System</a>&#8220;<br />
<img src="http://www.robertamsterdam.com/bushputin0607.jpg" alt="Puting sets it straight" /></p>
</blockquote>
<p>Top photo : A Lockheed-Martin CGI model of a missile defense shield<br />
Putin photo : AP, from <a href="http://www.robertamsterdam.com/2007/06/best_headline.htm">Robert Amsterdam</a></p>
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		<slash:comments>3</slash:comments>
	
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			<media:title type="html">Teo</media:title>
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			<media:title type="html">Putin's proposed Qalaba Missile Shield</media:title>
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			<media:title type="html">Puting sets it straight</media:title>
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